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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for the time of year, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. Later in the period there are signs of highs near 15°C, though confidence at that range is low. Temperatures will be at their lowest on Sunday 18 October, dipping to 3°C, which is chilly for mid-October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 49mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 87mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.